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JOURNAL ARTICLEES, BOOKS, CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS, AND PRESS RELEASES

Publications

Abbas El Hachem, Seidel S., Imbery F., Junghänel T., Bardossy A.: Technical Note (2022): Space–time statistical quality control of extreme precipitation observations. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 6137–6146, 2022. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-6137-2022

Beobide‐Arsuaga, G., Düsterhus, A., Müller, W. A., Barnes, E. A., Baehr, J. (2023): Spring regional sea surface temperatures as a precursor of European summer heatwaves. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(2), e2022GL100727, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL100727

Bücher, A., Zanger, L. (2023): On the disjoint and sliding block maxima method for piecewise stationary time series. The Annals of Statistics, 51(2), 573-598, https://doi.org/10.1214/23-AOS2260

Buschow, S. (2023): Tropical convection in ERA5 has partly shifted from parameterized to resolved. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4604

Buschow, S., Keller, J., Wahl, S. (2023): Explaining heatwaves with machine learning. arXiv physics ao-ph 2305.15170, https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2305.15170

Caldas-Alvarez, A., Augenstein, M., Ayzel, G., Barfus, K., Cherian, R., Dillenardt, L., Fauer, F., Feldmann, H., Heistermann, M., Karwat, A., Kaspar, F., Kreibich, H., Lucio-Eceiza, E. E., Meredith, E. P., Mohr, S., Niermann, D., Pfahl, S., Ruff, F., Rust, H. W., Schoppa, L., Schwitalla, T., Steidl, S., Thieken, A. H., Tradowsky, J. S., Wulfmeyer, V., Quaas, J. (2022): Meteorological, impact and climate perspectives of the 29 June 2017 heavy precipitation event in the Berlin metropolitan area. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 22(11), 3701-3724, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3701-2022

Caldas-Alvarez, A., Feldmann, H., Lucio-Eceiza, E., Pinto, J. G. (2023): Convection-parameterized and convection-permitting modelling of heavy precipitation in decadal simulations of the greater Alpine region with COSMO-CLM. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4(2), 543-565, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-543-2023

Di Capua, G., Sparrow, S.,  Kornhuber, K.,  Rousi, E.,  Osprey, S.,  Wallom, D.,  van den Hurk, B., Coumou, D. (2021): Drivers behind the summer 2010 wave train leading to Russian heatwave and Pakistan flooding. npj Clim Atmos Sci 4, 55. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00211-9

Ehmele F., L.-A. Kautz, H. Feldmann and J.G. Pinto (2020): Long-term variance of heavy precipitation across central Europe using a large ensemble of regional climate model simulations. Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 469–490, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-469-2020

Ehmele, F., Kautz, L. A., Feldmann, H., He, Y., Kadlec, M., Kelemen, F. D., Lentink, H. S. Ludwig, P., Manful, D., Pinto, J. G. (2022): Adaptation and application of the large LAERTES-EU regional climate model ensemble for modeling hydrological extremes: a pilot study for the Rhine basin. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 22(2), 677-692 https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-677-2022

Fauer, F. S., Ulrich, J., Jurado, O. E., & Rust, H. W. (2021): Flexible and consistent quantile estimation for intensity–duration–frequency curves. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25(12), 6479-6494, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-6479-2021

Fauer, F.S., Rust, H.W. (2023): Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 37, 4417–4429, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-023-02515-z

Gliksman, D., Averbeck, P., Becker, N., Gardiner, B., Goldberg, V., Grieger, J., Handorf, D. Haustein, K., Karwat, A., Knutzen, F., Lentink, H. S., Lorenz, R., Niermann, D., Pinto, J. G., Queck, R., Ziemann, A., Franzke, C. L. E. (2023): A European perspective on wind and storm damage–from the meteorological background to index-based approaches to assess impacts. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 23(6), 2171-2201, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2171-2023

Hu, G., Franzke, C. L. E. (2020). Evaluation of daily precipitation extremes in reanalysis and gridded observation‐based data sets over Germany. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL089624. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089624

Karwat, A., Franzke, C.L.E. (2021): Future Projections of Heat Mortality Risk for Major European Cities. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 13 (4), 913–931. https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-20-0142.1

Karwat, A., Franzke, C. L. E., & Blender, R. (2022). Long-term trends of Northern Hemispheric winter cyclones in the extended ERA5 reanalysis. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127, e2022JD036952. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036952

Karwat, A., Franzke, C. L. E., Pinto, J. G., Lee, S.-S. and Blender, R. (2024): Northern Hemisphere Extratropical Cyclone Clustering in ERA5 Reanalysis and the CESM2 Large Ensemble, vol 37, no. 4., J. Clim., https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0160.1

Kaspar, F., Niermann, D., Borsche, M., Fiedler, S., Keller, J., Potthast, R., Rösch, T., Spangehl, T., and Tinz, B.: Regional atmospheric reanalysis activities at Deutscher Wetterdienst: review of evaluation results and application examples with a focus on renewable energy, Adv. Sci. Res., 17, 115–128, https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-17-115-2020, 2020

Kadow, C., Illing, S., Lucio-Eceiza, E.E., Bergemann, M., Ramadoss, M., Sommer, P.S., Kunst, O., Schartner, T., Pankatz, K., Grieger, J., Schuster, M., Richling, A., Thiemann, H., Kirchner, I., Rust, H.W., Ludwig, T., Cubasch, U., Ulbrich, U. (2021): Introduction to Freva – A Free Evaluation System Framework for Earth System Modeling. Journal of Open Research Software, 9(1), p.13, http://doi.org/10.5334/jors.253

Lilienthal, J., Zanger, L., Bücher, A., & Fried, R. (2022). A note on statistical tests for homogeneities in multivariate extreme value models for block maxima. Environmetrics, 33(7), e2746, https://doi.org/10.1002/env.2746

Ludwig, P., Ehmele, F., Franca, M. J., Mohr, S., Caldas-Alvarez, A., Daniell, J. E., Ehret, U., Feldmann, H., Hundhausen, M., Knippertz, P., Küpfer, K., Kunz, M., Mühr, B., Pinto, J. G., Quintig, J., Schäfer, A. M., Seidel, F., Wisotzky, C. (2023): A multi-disciplinary analysis of the exceptional flood event of July 2021 in central Europe–Part 2: Historical context and relation to climate change. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 23(4), 1287-1311, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1287-2023

Mayer, B., Mathis, M., Mikolajewicz, U., Pohlmann, T. (2022): RCP8.5-projected changes in German Bight storm surge characteristics from regionalized ensemble simulations for the end of the twenty-first century. Frontiers in Climate 4, https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.992119

Mayer, Bernhard, Mathis, Moritz, Pohlmann, Thomas, 2022: Effects of climate change on extreme sea levels in the North Sea (ECCES): regionalized MPIOM-REMO climate ensemble. World Data Center for Climate (WDCC) at DKRZ. https://doi.org/10.26050/WDCC/ECCES_MPIOM-REMO

Meredith, E. P., Ulbrich, U., and Rust, H. W. (2023). Cell tracking of convective rainfall: sensitivity of climate-change signal to tracking algorithm and cell definition (Cell-TAO v1.0), Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 851–867, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-851-2023

Meredith E.P. et al. (2021): Present and future diurnal hourly precipitation in 0.11deg EURO-CORDEX models and at convection-permitting resolution, Environmental Research Communications, https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/abf15e

Meschede, C., Hees, K., Fried, R. (2023): Temporal clustering of extreme events in sequences of dependent observations separated by heavy-tailed waiting times, axXiv, stat.ME, 2308.14625, https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2308.14625

Mohr, S., Wilhelm, J., Wandel, J., Kunz, M., Portmann, R., Punge, H. J., Schmidberger, M., Quinting, J. F., and Grams, C. M.: The role of large-scale dynamics in an exceptional sequence of severe thunderstorms in Europe May–June 2018, Weather Clim. Dynam., 1, 325–348, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-325-2020, 2020

Müller, W. A., Borchert, L., Ghosh, R. (2020). Observed subdecadal variations of European summer temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(1), e2019GL086043, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086043

Nguyen, V. D., Merz, B., Hundecha, Y., Haberlandt, U., Vorogushyn, S. (2021): Comprehensive evaluation of an improved large‐scale multi‐site weather generator for Germany. International Journal of Climatology, 41(10), 4933-4956, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7107

Petrovic, D., Fersch, B., & Kunstmann, H. (2022): Droughts in Germany: performance of regional climate models in reproducing observed characteristics. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 22(12), 3875-3895, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3875-2022

Ruff, F., & Pfahl, S. (2022): What distinguishes 100-year precipitation extremes over central European river catchments from more moderate extreme events?. Weather and Climate Dynamics Discussions, 2022, 1-29, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-427-2023

Sairam, N., Brill, F., Sieg, T., Farrag, M., Kellermann, P., Nguyen, V. D., Lüdtke, S., Merz, B., Schröter, K. Vorogushyn, S., Kreibich, H. (2021): Process‐based flood risk assessment for Germany. Earth's Future, 9(10), e2021EF002259, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002259

Schädler, G. and Breil, M.: Identification of droughts and heatwaves in Germany with regional climate networks, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 28, 231–245, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-28-231-2021, 2021

Schäfer A., Mühr B., Daniell J., Ehret U., Ehmele F., Küpfer K., Brand J., Wisotzky C., Skapski J., Renz L., Mohr S., Kunz M (2021): Hochwasser Mitteleuropa, Juli 2021 (Deutschland). Bericht Nr. 1 ”Nordrhein-Westfalen und Rheinland-Pfalz”. CEDIM Forensic Disaster Analysis (FDA) Group. KIT. DOI: 10.5445/IR/100013573 0. https://publikationen.bibliothek.kit.edu/1000135730

Schwitalla T., K. Warrach-Sagi, V. Wulfmeyer and M. Resch (2020): Near-global-scale high-resolution seasonal simulations with WRF-Noah-MP v.3.8.1. Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 1959–1974, doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-1959-2020

Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Milinski S., Maher N.(2021): Exploiting large ensembles for a better yet simpler climate model evaluation. Clim Dyn. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05821-w

Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Müller, W.A., Marotzke, J. (2023): Extreme heat and drought typical of an end-of-century climate could occur over Europe soon and repeatedly. Commun Earth Environ 4, 415, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01075-y

Szemkus, S., & Friederichs, P. (2024). Spatial patterns and indices for heat waves and droughts over Europe using a decomposition of extremal dependency. Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography, 10(1), 29-49, https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-10-29-2024

Ullrich, S. L., Hegnauer, M., Nguyen, D. V., Merz, B., Kwadijk, J., & Vorogushyn, S. (2021): Comparative evaluation of two types of stochastic weather generators for synthetic precipitation in the Rhine basin. Journal of Hydrology, 601, 126544, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126544

Vorobevskii, I., Luong, T. T., and Kronenberg, R.(2023): Seasonal forecasting of local-scale soil moisture droughts with Global BROOK90, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2023-91

Wallberg, L., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Matei, D., & Müller, W. A. (2024): Extremely warm European summers preceded by sub-decadal North Atlantic ocean heat accumulation. Earth System Dynamics, 15(1), 1-14, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1-2024

Xoplaki, E., Ellsäßer, F., Grieger, J., Nissen, K. M., Pinto, J., Augenstein, M., Chen, T.-C., Feldmann, H., Friederichs, P., Gliksman, D., Goulier, L., Haustein, K., Heinke, J., Jach, L., Knutzen, F., Kollet, S., Luterbacher, J., Luther, N., Mohr, S., Mudersbach, C., Müller, C., Rousi, E., Simon, F., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Szemkus, S., Vallejo-Bernal, S. M., Vlachopoulos, O., Wolf, F. (2023): Compound events in Germany in 2018: drivers and case studies, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1460

Zanger, L., Bücher, A., Kreienkamp, F., Lorenz, P., Tradowsky, J. (2023): Regional Pooling in Extreme Event Attribution Studies: an Approach Based on Multiple Statistical Testing, arXiv stat.ME 2301.06295, https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2301.06295